[eDebate] korcok: neocons ignored CIA analysis that overthrow = civil war, chaos
Sun Jul 2 17:30:54 CDT 2006
either they ignored it or they deliberately created chaos and anti-american
sentiment to feed al-qaeda recruiting and generate a new cold war to last
for decades with massive DOD budgets ad infinitum. remember dick cheney
lied to the american people on national television on a sunday in the lead
up to the war and said that the iraqis would welcome their liberators. how
come the chickenhawks are so incompetent all the time?
"Pillar describes for the first time that the intelligence community did
assessments before the invasion that, he wrote, indicated a postwar Iraq
"would not provide fertile ground for democracy" and would need "a Marshall
Plan-type effort" to restore its economy despite its oil revenue. It also
foresaw Sunnis and Shiites fighting for power.
Pillar wrote that the intelligence community "anticipated that a foreign
occupying force would itself be the target of resentment and attacks --
including guerrilla warfare -- unless it established security and put Iraq
on the road to prosperity in the first few weeks or months after the fall of
In an interview, Pillar said the prewar assessments "were not
crystal-balling, but in them we were laying out the challenges that would
face us depending on decisions that were made."
Pillar wrote that the first request he received from a Bush policymaker for
an assessment of post-invasion Iraq was "not until a year into the war."
That assessment, completed in August 2004, warned that the insurgency in
Iraq could evolve into a guerrilla war or civil war. It was leaked to the
media in September in the midst of the presidential campaign, and Bush, who
had told voters that the mission in Iraq was going well, described the
assessment to reporters as "just guessing."
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